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1Strategic Director, Cancer Surveillance, Surveillance and Health Policy Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, Georgia
2Manager, Surveillance Information Services, Surveillance and Health Policy Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, Georgia
3Vice President, Surveillance and Health Policy Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, Georgia
4Senior Epidemiologist, Surveillance and Health Policy Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, Georgia
5Epidemiologist, Mortality Statistics Branch, Division of Vital Statistics, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Hyattsville, Maryland
6Vice President Emeritus, Epidemiology and Surveillance Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, Georgia
Corresponding author: Ahmedin Jemal, DVM, PhD, Surveillance and Health Policy Research, American Cancer Society, 250 Williams Street, NW, Atlanta, GA 30303-1002; ahmedin.jemal{at}cancer.org
DISCLOSURES: The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The authors report no conflicts of interest.
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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| Materials and Methods |
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Estimated New Cancer Cases
The precise number of cancer cases diagnosed each year in the nation and in every state is unknown because cancer registration is incomplete in some states. Furthermore, the most recent year for which incidence and mortality data are available lags 3–4 years behind the current year because of the time required for data collection and compilation. Estimated new cancer cases in the current year (2009) were projected by using a spatiotemporal model12 on the basis of incidence data from 1995 through 2005 from 41 states and the District of Columbia that met NAACCR's high-quality data standard for incidence, covering about 85% of the US population. The method also considers geographic variations in sociodemographic and lifestyle factors, medical settings, and cancer-screening behaviors as predictors of incidence, and accounts for expected delays in case reporting.
Estimated Cancer Deaths
We used the state-space prediction method13 to estimate the number of cancer deaths expected to occur in the United States and in each state in the year 2009. Projections are based on underlying cause-of-death from death certificates as reported to the NCHS.1 This model projects the number of cancer deaths expected to occur in 2009 on the basis of the number that occurred each year from 1969 to 2006 in the United States and in each state separately.
Other Statistics
We provide mortality statistics for the leading causes of death as well as deaths from cancer in the year 2006. Causes of death for 2006 were coded and classified according to ICD-10.8 This report also provides updated statistics on trends in cancer incidence and mortality rates, the probability of developing cancer, and 5-year relative-survival rates for selected cancer sites based on data from 1975 through 2005.3 All age-adjusted incidence and death rates are standardized to the 2000 US standard population and expressed per 100,000 population.
The long-term incidence rates and trends (1975 to 2005) are adjusted for delays in reporting where possible. Delayed reporting primarily affects the most recent 1–3 years of incidence data (in this case, 2003–2005), especially for cancers such as melanoma, leukemia, and prostate that are frequently diagnosed in outpatient settings. The NCI has developed a method to account for expected reporting delays in SEER registries for all cancer sites combined and many specific cancer sites.14 Delay-adjusted rates provide a more accurate assessment of trends in the most recent years for which data are available. Long-term incidence and mortality trends (1975–2005) for selected cancer sites were previously published in the 2008 Annual Report to the Nation on the Status of Cancer.15
We also provide the contribution of individual cancer sites to the total decrease in overall cancer death rates since 1990 in men and since 1991 in women and estimates of the total number of cancer deaths avoided because of the reduction in overall age-standardized cancer death rates over these time intervals. The total number of cancer deaths avoided was calculated by applying the age-specific cancer death rates in the peak year for the age-standardized cancer death rates (1990 for males and 1991 for females) to the corresponding age-specific populations in the subsequent years through 2005 to obtain the number of expected deaths in each calendar year had the death rates not decreased. We then summed the difference between the number of expected and observed deaths in each age group and calendar year for men and women separately to obtain the total number of cancer deaths avoided over the 14-year (women) or 15-year (men) interval.
| Selected Findings |
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Expected Number of Cancer Deaths
Table 1 also shows the expected number of deaths from cancer projected for 2009 for men, women, and both sexes combined. It is estimated that about 562,340 Americans will die from cancer, corresponding to more than 1,500 deaths per day. Cancers of the lung and bronchus, prostate, and colorectum in men, and cancers of the lung and bronchus, breast, and colorectum in women continue to be the most common fatal cancers. These four cancers account for almost half of the total cancer deaths among men and women (Fig. 1). Lung cancer surpassed breast cancer as the leading cause of cancer death in women in 1987. Lung cancer is expected to account for 26% of all female cancer deaths in 2009. Table 3 provides the estimated number of cancer deaths in 2009 by state for selected cancer sites.
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Table 6 shows the contribution of individual cancer sites to the total decrease in overall cancer death rates. Death rates from all cancers combined peaked in 1990 for men and in 1991 for women. Between 1990–1991 and 2005, death rates from cancer decreased by 19.2% among men and by 11.4% among women. Among men, reduction in death rates from lung, prostate, and colorectal cancers accounted for nearly 80% of the total decrease in cancer death rates, whereas reduction in death rates from breast and colorectal cancers accounted for 60% of the decrease among women. Lung cancer in men and breast cancer in women alone account for nearly 40% of sex-specific decreases in cancer death rates. The decrease in lung cancer death rates among men is due to reduction in tobacco use during the past 50 years, while the decrease in death rates for female breast, colorectal, and prostate cancer largely reflects improvements in early detection and/or treatment. Between 1990–1991 and 2005, death rates increased for liver cancer in both men and women, for esophageal cancer and melanoma in men, and for lung and pancreatic cancer in women.
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| Cancer Occurrence by Race/Ethnicity |
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Trends in cancer incidence can be adjusted for delayed reporting only in whites and African Americans because long-term incidence data required for delay adjustment are not available for other racial and ethnic subgroups. From 1996 to 2005, incidence (unadjusted for delayed reporting) and death rates for all cancer sites combined decreased among whites, African Americans, Asian Americans/Pacific Islanders, and Hispanics in both men and women.15 Among American Indians/Alaska Natives residing in Indian Health Service (IHS) Contract Health Service Delivery Areas, mortality rates during this time period remained stable; trends in incidence rates could not be examined because the linkage of incident cancer cases with IHS was not complete at the time of this report.15
Death Rates by Educational Attainment, Race, and Sex
Table 12 shows trends in death rates from 1993 to 2001 for the four major cancers by educational attainment among white and African American men and women aged 25 to 64 years.23 In general, death rates decreased significantly from 1993 through 2001 for those with 13 or more years of education but increased or remained constant in those with 12 or fewer years of education. For example, lung cancer death rates in white women decreased for those with 13 or more years of education, leveled in those with 12 years of education, and increased in those with fewer than 12 years of education. Similarly, colorectal cancer death rates among black men decreased for those with 16 or more years of education, leveled in those with 12–15 years of education, and increased in those with fewer than 12 years of education. Notably, the rate of decreases in death rates for each race-, sex-, and cancer-specific category followed an educational gradient in that each group of increasing educational level experienced a progressively steeper decrease. As a result, educational disparity in cancer mortality increased from 1993 to 2001 for lung and colorectal cancers (except among black women) and prostate cancer. Factors that may have contributed to this disparity include higher prevalence of risk factors, such as smoking and obesity, and limited access to medical services among less educated individuals. If everyone ages 25 to 64 years experienced the same cancer death rates as the most educated, 17,650 cancer deaths in women and 30,940 cancer deaths in men could have been averted or postponed in 2001, accounting for over 30% of the total number of cancer deaths in this age group.
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| Cancer in Children |
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| Limitations |
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| Footnotes |
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| References |
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B. Johanneson, S. K. McDonnell, D. M. Karyadi, P. Quignon, L. McIntosh, S. M. Riska, L. M. FitzGerald, G. Johnson, K. Deutsch, G. Williams, et al. Family-based association analysis of 42 hereditary prostate cancer families identifies the Apolipoprotein L3 region on chromosome 22q12 as a risk locus Hum. Mol. Genet., July 22, 2010; (2010) ddq283v2. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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S. J. Lubner, M. R. Mahoney, J. L. Kolesar, N. K. LoConte, G. P. Kim, H. C. Pitot, P. A. Philip, J. Picus, W.-P. Yong, L. Horvath, et al. Report of a Multicenter Phase II Trial Testing a Combination of Biweekly Bevacizumab and Daily Erlotinib in Patients With Unresectable Biliary Cancer: A Phase II Consortium Study J. Clin. Oncol., July 20, 2010; 28(21): 3491 - 3497. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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O. Arrieta, C. H. Gonzalez-De la Rosa, E. Arechaga-Ocampo, G. Villanueva-Rodriguez, T. L. Ceron-Lizarraga, L. Martinez-Barrera, M. E. Vazquez-Manriquez, M. A. Rios-Trejo, M. A. Alvarez-Avitia, N. Hernandez-Pedro, et al. Randomized Phase II Trial of All-Trans-Retinoic Acid With Chemotherapy Based on Paclitaxel and Cisplatin As First-Line Treatment in Patients With Advanced Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer J. Clin. Oncol., July 20, 2010; 28(21): 3463 - 3471. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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Z. Y. Wang, Y. X. Li, H. Wang, W. H. Wang, J. Jin, Y. P. Liu, Y. W. Song, S. L. Wang, X. F. Liu, and Z. H. Yu Unfavorable prognosis of elderly patients with early-stage extranodal nasal-type NK/T-cell lymphoma Ann. Onc., July 19, 2010; (2010) mdq347v2. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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L. Wang, L.-E. Wang, L. Mao, M. R. Spitz, and Q. Wei A Functional Variant of Tandem Repeats in Human Telomerase Gene Was Associated with Survival of Patients with Early Stages of Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Clin. Cancer Res., July 15, 2010; 16(14): 3779 - 3785. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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L. Wu, W. Chang, J. Zhao, Y. Yu, X. Tan, T. Su, L. Zhao, S. Huang, S. Liu, and G. Cao Development of Autoantibody Signatures as Novel Diagnostic Biomarkers of Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Clin. Cancer Res., July 15, 2010; 16(14): 3760 - 3768. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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I. M. Bennani-Baiti, A. Cooper, E. R. Lawlor, M. Kauer, J. Ban, D. N. T. Aryee, and H. Kovar Intercohort Gene Expression Co-Analysis Reveals Chemokine Receptors as Prognostic Indicators in Ewing's Sarcoma Clin. Cancer Res., July 15, 2010; 16(14): 3769 - 3778. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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K. Ng and D. Schrag Microsatellite Instability and Adjuvant Fluorouracil Chemotherapy: A Mismatch? J. Clin. Oncol., July 10, 2010; 28(20): 3207 - 3210. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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T. D. Gilligan, J. Seidenfeld, E. M. Basch, L. H. Einhorn, T. Fancher, D. C. Smith, A. J. Stephenson, D. J. Vaughn, R. Cosby, and D. F. Hayes American Society of Clinical Oncology Clinical Practice Guideline on Uses of Serum Tumor Markers in Adult Males With Germ Cell Tumors J. Clin. Oncol., July 10, 2010; 28(20): 3388 - 3404. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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W. Zhang, T. Winder, Y. Ning, A. Pohl, D. Yang, M. Kahn, G. Lurje, M. J. LaBonte, P. M. Wilson, M. A. Gordon, et al. A let-7 microRNA-binding site polymorphism in 3'-untranslated region of KRAS gene predicts response in wild-type KRAS patients with metastatic colorectal cancer treated with cetuximab monotherapy Ann. Onc., July 5, 2010; (2010) mdq315v1. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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T. R. Asmis, E. Powell, C. S. Karapetis, D. J. Jonker, D. Tu, M. Jeffery, N. Pavlakis, P. Gibbs, L. Zhu, D.- A. Dueck, et al. Comorbidity, age and overall survival in cetuximab-treated patients with advanced colorectal cancer (ACRC)--results from NCIC CTG CO.17: a phase III trial of cetuximab versus best supportive care Ann. Onc., July 5, 2010; (2010) mdq309v1. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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K. Izumi, K. Narimoto, K. Sugimoto, Y. Kobori, Y. Maeda, A. Mizokami, E. Koh, T. Yamada, S. Yano, and M. Namiki The Role of Percutaneous Needle Biopsy in Differentiation of Renal Tumors Jpn. J. Clin. Oncol., July 2, 2010; (2010) hyq076v1. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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D. S. Ettinger, W. Akerley, G. Bepler, M. G. Blum, A. Chang, R. T. Cheney, L. R. Chirieac, T. A. D'Amico, T. L. Demmy, A. K. P. Ganti, et al. Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer J Natl Compr Canc Netw, July 1, 2010; 8(7): 740 - 801. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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T. A. D'Amico Operative Techniques in Early-Stage Lung Cancer J Natl Compr Canc Netw, July 1, 2010; 8(7): 807 - 813. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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C. Aggarwal, N. Somaiah, and G. R. Simon Biomarkers with Predictive and Prognostic Function in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: Ready for Prime Time? J Natl Compr Canc Netw, July 1, 2010; 8(7): 822 - 832. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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I. J. Dahabreh, H. Linardou, P. Bouzika, V. Varvarigou, and S. Murray TP53 Arg72Pro Polymorphism and Colorectal Cancer Risk: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., July 1, 2010; 19(7): 1840 - 1847. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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T. Sun, G.-S. M. Lee, L. Werner, M. Pomerantz, W. K. Oh, P. W. Kantoff, and M. L. Freedman Inherited Variations in AR, ESR1, and ESR2 Genes Are Not Associated With Prostate Cancer Aggressiveness or With Efficacy of Androgen Deprivation Therapy Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., July 1, 2010; 19(7): 1871 - 1878. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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R. C. Wender Family Medicine in the Research Revolution J Am Board Fam Med, July 1, 2010; 23(4): 431 - 439. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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E. Chang, J. Donahue, A. Smith, J. Hornick, J. N. Rao, J.-Y. Wang, and R. J. Battafarano Loss of p53, rather than beta-catenin overexpression, induces survivin-mediated resistance to apoptosis in an esophageal cancer cell line J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg., July 1, 2010; 140(1): 225 - 232. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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R. Green, H. Horn, and J. M. Erickson Eating Experiences of Children and Adolescents With Chemotherapy-Related Nausea and Mucositis Journal of Pediatric Oncology Nursing, July 1, 2010; 27(4): 209 - 216. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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E. Giovannucci, D. M. Harlan, M. C. Archer, R. M. Bergenstal, S. M. Gapstur, L. A. Habel, M. Pollak, J. G. Regensteiner, and D. Yee Diabetes and Cancer: A consensus report Diabetes Care, July 1, 2010; 33(7): 1674 - 1685. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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G. L. Jackson, L. D. Melton, D. H. Abbott, L. L. Zullig, D. L. Ordin, S. C. Grambow, N. S. Hamilton, S. Y. Zafar, Z. F. Gellad, M. J. Kelley, et al. Quality of Nonmetastatic Colorectal Cancer Care in the Department of Veterans Affairs J. Clin. Oncol., July 1, 2010; 28(19): 3176 - 3181. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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A. Link, F. Balaguer, Y. Shen, T. Nagasaka, J. J. Lozano, C. R. Boland, and A. Goel Fecal MicroRNAs as Novel Biomarkers for Colon Cancer Screening Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., July 1, 2010; 19(7): 1766 - 1774. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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S. Paul, A. J. DeCastro, H. J. Lee, A. K. Smolarek, J. Y. So, B. Simi, C. X. Wang, R. Zhou, A. M. Rimando, and N. Suh Dietary intake of pterostilbene, a constituent of blueberries, inhibits the {beta}-catenin/p65 downstream signaling pathway and colon carcinogenesis in rats Carcinogenesis, July 1, 2010; 31(7): 1272 - 1278. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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X. Wang and A. Schneider HIF-2{alpha}-mediated activation of the epidermal growth factor receptor potentiates head and neck cancer cell migration in response to hypoxia Carcinogenesis, July 1, 2010; 31(7): 1202 - 1210. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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Y. H. CHO, H. YAZICI, H.-C. WU, M. B. TERRY, K. GONZALEZ, M. QU, N. DALAY, and R. M. SANTELLA Aberrant Promoter Hypermethylation and Genomic Hypomethylation in Tumor, Adjacent Normal Tissues and Blood from Breast Cancer Patients Anticancer Res, July 1, 2010; 30(7): 2489 - 2496. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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V. R. ADAMS, D. L. DEREMER, B. STEVICH, C. A. MATTINGLY, B. GALLT, T. SUBRAMANIAN, J. M. TROUTMAN, and H. P. SPIELMANN Anticancer Activity of Novel Unnatural Synthetic Isoprenoids Anticancer Res, July 1, 2010; 30(7): 2505 - 2512. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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R. N. SEETHARAM, A. SOOD, A. BASU-MALLICK, L. H. AUGENLICHT, J. M. MARIADASON, and S. GOEL Oxaliplatin Resistance Induced by ERCC1 Up-regulation Is Abrogated by siRNA-mediated Gene Silencing in Human Colorectal Cancer Cells Anticancer Res, July 1, 2010; 30(7): 2531 - 2538. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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H. KIM, J. W. KANG, S. LEE, W. J. CHOI, L. S. JEONG, Y. YANG, J. T. HONG, and D. Y. YOON A3 Adenosine Receptor Antagonist, Truncated Thio-Cl-IB-MECA, Induces Apoptosis in T24 Human Bladder Cancer Cells Anticancer Res, July 1, 2010; 30(7): 2823 - 2830. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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K. IZUMI, A. MIZOKAMI, T. SHIMA, K. NARIMOTO, K. SUGIMOTO, Y. KOBORI, Y. MAEDA, H. KONAKA, E. KOH, and M. NAMIKI Preliminary Results of Tranilast Treatment for Patients with Advanced Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer Anticancer Res, July 1, 2010; 30(7): 3077 - 3081. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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F. LUMACHI, M. FABBRO, A. TREGNAGHI, L. ANTUNOVIC, F. BUI, D. CECCHIN, P. ZUCCHETTA, and A. FASSINA Fine-Needle Aspiration Cytology and 99mTc-pertechnetate Scintigraphy Together in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma Anticancer Res, July 1, 2010; 30(7): 3083 - 3086. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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P.-H. LIN, Y.-S. LU, C.-H. LIN, D.-Y. CHANG, C.-S. HUANG, A.-L. CHENG, and K.-H. YEH Vinorelbine plus 24-Hour Infusion of High-dose 5-Fluorouracil and Leucovorin as Effective Palliative Chemotherapy for Breast Cancer Patients with Acute Disseminated Intravascular Coagulation Anticancer Res, July 1, 2010; 30(7): 3087 - 3091. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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W. A. Hassen, F. A. Karsan, F. Abbas, Y. Beduk, A. El-Khodary, M. Ghosn, J. Khader, R. Khauli, D. M. Rabah, A. Shamseddine, et al. Modification and Implementation of NCCN GuidelinesTM on Prostate Cancer in the Middle East and North Africa Region J Natl Compr Canc Netw, July 1, 2010; 8(Suppl_3): S-26 - S-28. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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T. Deguchi, M. Tanemura, E. Miyoshi, H. Nagano, T. Machida, Y. Ohmura, S. Kobayashi, S. Marubashi, H. Eguchi, Y. Takeda, et al. Increased Immunogenicity of Tumor-Associated Antigen, Mucin 1, Engineered to Express {alpha}-Gal Epitopes: A Novel Approach to Immunotherapy in Pancreatic Cancer Cancer Res., July 1, 2010; 70(13): 5259 - 5269. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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T. Jiang, N. Chen, F. Zhao, X.-J. Wang, B. Kong, W. Zheng, and D. D. Zhang High Levels of Nrf2 Determine Chemoresistance in Type II Endometrial Cancer Cancer Res., July 1, 2010; 70(13): 5486 - 5496. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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