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1Strategic Director, Cancer Surveillance, Surveillance and Health Policy Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, Georgia
2Manager, Surveillance Information Services, Surveillance and Health Policy Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, Georgia
3Vice President, Surveillance and Health Policy Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, Georgia
4Senior Epidemiologist, Surveillance and Health Policy Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, Georgia
5Epidemiologist, Mortality Statistics Branch, Division of Vital Statistics, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Hyattsville, Maryland
6Vice President Emeritus, Epidemiology and Surveillance Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, Georgia
Corresponding author: Ahmedin Jemal, DVM, PhD, Surveillance and Health Policy Research, American Cancer Society, 250 Williams Street, NW, Atlanta, GA 30303-1002; ahmedin.jemal{at}cancer.org
DISCLOSURES: The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The authors report no conflicts of interest.
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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| Materials and Methods |
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Estimated New Cancer Cases
The precise number of cancer cases diagnosed each year in the nation and in every state is unknown because cancer registration is incomplete in some states. Furthermore, the most recent year for which incidence and mortality data are available lags 3–4 years behind the current year because of the time required for data collection and compilation. Estimated new cancer cases in the current year (2009) were projected by using a spatiotemporal model12 on the basis of incidence data from 1995 through 2005 from 41 states and the District of Columbia that met NAACCR's high-quality data standard for incidence, covering about 85% of the US population. The method also considers geographic variations in sociodemographic and lifestyle factors, medical settings, and cancer-screening behaviors as predictors of incidence, and accounts for expected delays in case reporting.
Estimated Cancer Deaths
We used the state-space prediction method13 to estimate the number of cancer deaths expected to occur in the United States and in each state in the year 2009. Projections are based on underlying cause-of-death from death certificates as reported to the NCHS.1 This model projects the number of cancer deaths expected to occur in 2009 on the basis of the number that occurred each year from 1969 to 2006 in the United States and in each state separately.
Other Statistics
We provide mortality statistics for the leading causes of death as well as deaths from cancer in the year 2006. Causes of death for 2006 were coded and classified according to ICD-10.8 This report also provides updated statistics on trends in cancer incidence and mortality rates, the probability of developing cancer, and 5-year relative-survival rates for selected cancer sites based on data from 1975 through 2005.3 All age-adjusted incidence and death rates are standardized to the 2000 US standard population and expressed per 100,000 population.
The long-term incidence rates and trends (1975 to 2005) are adjusted for delays in reporting where possible. Delayed reporting primarily affects the most recent 1–3 years of incidence data (in this case, 2003–2005), especially for cancers such as melanoma, leukemia, and prostate that are frequently diagnosed in outpatient settings. The NCI has developed a method to account for expected reporting delays in SEER registries for all cancer sites combined and many specific cancer sites.14 Delay-adjusted rates provide a more accurate assessment of trends in the most recent years for which data are available. Long-term incidence and mortality trends (1975–2005) for selected cancer sites were previously published in the 2008 Annual Report to the Nation on the Status of Cancer.15
We also provide the contribution of individual cancer sites to the total decrease in overall cancer death rates since 1990 in men and since 1991 in women and estimates of the total number of cancer deaths avoided because of the reduction in overall age-standardized cancer death rates over these time intervals. The total number of cancer deaths avoided was calculated by applying the age-specific cancer death rates in the peak year for the age-standardized cancer death rates (1990 for males and 1991 for females) to the corresponding age-specific populations in the subsequent years through 2005 to obtain the number of expected deaths in each calendar year had the death rates not decreased. We then summed the difference between the number of expected and observed deaths in each age group and calendar year for men and women separately to obtain the total number of cancer deaths avoided over the 14-year (women) or 15-year (men) interval.
| Selected Findings |
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Expected Number of Cancer Deaths
Table 1 also shows the expected number of deaths from cancer projected for 2009 for men, women, and both sexes combined. It is estimated that about 562,340 Americans will die from cancer, corresponding to more than 1,500 deaths per day. Cancers of the lung and bronchus, prostate, and colorectum in men, and cancers of the lung and bronchus, breast, and colorectum in women continue to be the most common fatal cancers. These four cancers account for almost half of the total cancer deaths among men and women (Fig. 1). Lung cancer surpassed breast cancer as the leading cause of cancer death in women in 1987. Lung cancer is expected to account for 26% of all female cancer deaths in 2009. Table 3 provides the estimated number of cancer deaths in 2009 by state for selected cancer sites.
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Table 6 shows the contribution of individual cancer sites to the total decrease in overall cancer death rates. Death rates from all cancers combined peaked in 1990 for men and in 1991 for women. Between 1990–1991 and 2005, death rates from cancer decreased by 19.2% among men and by 11.4% among women. Among men, reduction in death rates from lung, prostate, and colorectal cancers accounted for nearly 80% of the total decrease in cancer death rates, whereas reduction in death rates from breast and colorectal cancers accounted for 60% of the decrease among women. Lung cancer in men and breast cancer in women alone account for nearly 40% of sex-specific decreases in cancer death rates. The decrease in lung cancer death rates among men is due to reduction in tobacco use during the past 50 years, while the decrease in death rates for female breast, colorectal, and prostate cancer largely reflects improvements in early detection and/or treatment. Between 1990–1991 and 2005, death rates increased for liver cancer in both men and women, for esophageal cancer and melanoma in men, and for lung and pancreatic cancer in women.
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| Cancer Occurrence by Race/Ethnicity |
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Trends in cancer incidence can be adjusted for delayed reporting only in whites and African Americans because long-term incidence data required for delay adjustment are not available for other racial and ethnic subgroups. From 1996 to 2005, incidence (unadjusted for delayed reporting) and death rates for all cancer sites combined decreased among whites, African Americans, Asian Americans/Pacific Islanders, and Hispanics in both men and women.15 Among American Indians/Alaska Natives residing in Indian Health Service (IHS) Contract Health Service Delivery Areas, mortality rates during this time period remained stable; trends in incidence rates could not be examined because the linkage of incident cancer cases with IHS was not complete at the time of this report.15
Death Rates by Educational Attainment, Race, and Sex
Table 12 shows trends in death rates from 1993 to 2001 for the four major cancers by educational attainment among white and African American men and women aged 25 to 64 years.23 In general, death rates decreased significantly from 1993 through 2001 for those with 13 or more years of education but increased or remained constant in those with 12 or fewer years of education. For example, lung cancer death rates in white women decreased for those with 13 or more years of education, leveled in those with 12 years of education, and increased in those with fewer than 12 years of education. Similarly, colorectal cancer death rates among black men decreased for those with 16 or more years of education, leveled in those with 12–15 years of education, and increased in those with fewer than 12 years of education. Notably, the rate of decreases in death rates for each race-, sex-, and cancer-specific category followed an educational gradient in that each group of increasing educational level experienced a progressively steeper decrease. As a result, educational disparity in cancer mortality increased from 1993 to 2001 for lung and colorectal cancers (except among black women) and prostate cancer. Factors that may have contributed to this disparity include higher prevalence of risk factors, such as smoking and obesity, and limited access to medical services among less educated individuals. If everyone ages 25 to 64 years experienced the same cancer death rates as the most educated, 17,650 cancer deaths in women and 30,940 cancer deaths in men could have been averted or postponed in 2001, accounting for over 30% of the total number of cancer deaths in this age group.
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| Cancer in Children |
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| Limitations |
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| Footnotes |
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| References |
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K. I. Block Cost savings with clinical solutions: the impact of reforming health and health care economics with integrative therapies. Integr Cancer Ther, June 1, 2010; 9(2): 129 - 135. [PDF] |
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G. Pelosi, A. Sonzogni, and G. Viale The Classification of Lung Carcinoma: Time to Change the Morphology-Based Approach? International Journal of Surgical Pathology, June 1, 2010; 18(3): 161 - 172. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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E. Dean-Clower, A. M. Doherty-Gilman, A. Keshaviah, F. Baker, C. Kaw, Weidong Lu, J. Manola, R. T. Penson, U. A. Matulonis, and D. S. Rosenthal Acupuncture as Palliative Therapy for Physical Symptoms and Quality of Life for Advanced Cancer Patients Integr Cancer Ther, June 1, 2010; 9(2): 158 - 167. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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Y. Pang, C. Y. F. Young, and H. Yuan MicroRNAs and prostate cancer Acta Biochim Biophys Sin, June 1, 2010; 42(6): 363 - 369. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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T. Menon, J. A. Yates, and D. A. Bochar Regulation of Androgen-Responsive Transcription by the Chromatin Remodeling Factor CHD8 Mol. Endocrinol., June 1, 2010; 24(6): 1165 - 1174. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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J.-S. Lee, S.-H. Leem, S.-Y. Lee, S.-C. Kim, E.-S. Park, S.-B. Kim, S.-K. Kim, Y.-J. Kim, W.-J. Kim, and I.-S. Chu Expression Signature of E2F1 and Its Associated Genes Predict Superficial to Invasive Progression of Bladder Tumors J. Clin. Oncol., June 1, 2010; 28(16): 2660 - 2667. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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J.-L. Ku, Y.-K. Shin, D.-W. Kim, K.-H. Kim, J.-S. Choi, S.-H. Hong, Y.-K. Jeon, S.-H. Kim, H.-S. Kim, J.-H. Park, et al. Establishment and characterization of 13 human colorectal carcinoma cell lines: mutations of genes and expressions of drug-sensitivity genes and cancer stem cell markers Carcinogenesis, June 1, 2010; 31(6): 1003 - 1009. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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C. M. Sturgeon, M. J. Duffy, B. R. Hofmann, R. Lamerz, H. A. Fritsche, K. Gaarenstroom, J. Bonfrer, T. H. Ecke, H. B. Grossman, P. Hayes, et al. National Academy of Clinical Biochemistry Laboratory Medicine Practice Guidelines for Use of Tumor Markers in Liver, Bladder, Cervical, and Gastric Cancers Clin. Chem., June 1, 2010; 56(6): e1 - e48. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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P. Prakash, C. G. Cronin, and M. A. Blake Role of PET/CT in Ovarian Cancer Am. J. Roentgenol., June 1, 2010; 194(6): W464 - W470. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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P. DHUPKAR, M. DOWLING, K. CENGEL, and B. CHEN Effects of Anti-EGFR Antibody Cetuximab on Androgen-independent Prostate Cancer Cells Anticancer Res, June 1, 2010; 30(6): 1905 - 1910. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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A. SPATHIS, J. GEORGOULAKIS, P. FOUKAS, M. KEFALA, K. LEVENTAKOS, A. MACHAIRAS, I. PANAYIOTIDES, and P. KARAKITSOS KRAS and BRAF Mutation Analysis from Liquid-based Cytology Brushings of Colorectal Carcinoma in Comparison with Formalin-fixed, Paraffin-embedded Tissue Anticancer Res, June 1, 2010; 30(6): 1969 - 1975. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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F. LUMACHI, S. M. M. BASSO, M. BONAMINI, B. MARZANO, E. MILAN, B. U. WACLAW, and G. B. CHIARA Relationship between Preoperative Serum Markers CA 15-3 and CEA and Relapse of the Disease in Elderly (>65 years) Women with Breast Cancer Anticancer Res, June 1, 2010; 30(6): 2331 - 2334. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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J. SZKANDERA, G. KNECHTEL, M. STOTZ, G. HOFMANN, U. LANGSENLEHNER, P. KRIPPL, T. LANGSENLEHNER, D. DEHCHAMANI, H. SAMONIGG, W. RENNER, et al. Association of Hypoxia-inducible Factor 1-alpha Gene Polymorphisms and Colorectal Cancer Prognosis Anticancer Res, June 1, 2010; 30(6): 2393 - 2397. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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R. Sandhu, J. S. Parker, W. D. Jones, C. A. Livasy, and W. B. Coleman Microarray-Based Gene Expression Profiling for Molecular Classification of Breast Cancer and Identification of New Targets for Therapy Lab Med, June 1, 2010; 41(6): 364 - 372. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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E. Giovannetti, N. Funel, G. J. Peters, M. Del Chiaro, L. A. Erozenci, E. Vasile, L. G. Leon, L. E. Pollina, A. Groen, A. Falcone, et al. MicroRNA-21 in Pancreatic Cancer: Correlation with Clinical Outcome and Pharmacologic Aspects Underlying Its Role in the Modulation of Gemcitabine Activity Cancer Res., June 1, 2010; 70(11): 4528 - 4538. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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G. Duns, E. van den Berg, I. van Duivenbode, J. Osinga, H. Hollema, R. M. W. Hofstra, and K. Kok Histone Methyltransferase Gene SETD2 Is a Novel Tumor Suppressor Gene in Clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma Cancer Res., June 1, 2010; 70(11): 4287 - 4291. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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V. G. Vogel, J. P. Costantino, D. L. Wickerham, W. M. Cronin, R. S. Cecchini, J. N. Atkins, T. B. Bevers, L. Fehrenbacher, E. R. Pajon, J. L. Wade III, et al. Update of the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project Study of Tamoxifen and Raloxifene (STAR) P-2 Trial: Preventing Breast Cancer Cancer Prevention Research, June 1, 2010; 3(6): 696 - 706. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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J. M. Siegfried Early Changes in Pulmonary Gene Expression following Tobacco Exposure Shed Light on the Role of Estrogen Metabolism in Lung Carcinogenesis Cancer Prevention Research, June 1, 2010; 3(6): 692 - 695. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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R. Stone II, A. L. Sabichi, J. Gill, I.-l. Lee, P. Adegboyega, M. S. Dai, R. Loganantharaj, M. Trutschl, U. Cvek, and J. L. Clifford Identification of Genes Correlated with Early-Stage Bladder Cancer Progression Cancer Prevention Research, June 1, 2010; 3(6): 776 - 786. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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Y. Dai and D. W. Siemann BMS-777607, a Small-Molecule Met Kinase Inhibitor, Suppresses Hepatocyte Growth Factor-Stimulated Prostate Cancer Metastatic Phenotype In vitro Mol. Cancer Ther., June 1, 2010; 9(6): 1554 - 1561. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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J.-Z. Tang, X.-J. Kong, J. Kang, G. C. Fielder, M. Steiner, J. K. Perry, Z.-S. Wu, Z. Yin, T. Zhu, D.-X. Liu, et al. Artemin-Stimulated Progression of Human Non-Small Cell Lung Carcinoma Is Mediated by BCL2 Mol. Cancer Ther., June 1, 2010; 9(6): 1697 - 1708. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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D. Metalli, F. Lovat, F. Tripodi, M. Genua, S.-Q. Xu, M. Spinelli, L. Alberghina, M. Vanoni, R. Baffa, L. G. Gomella, et al. The Insulin-Like Growth Factor Receptor I Promotes Motility and Invasion of Bladder Cancer Cells through Akt- and Mitogen-Activated Protein Kinase-Dependent Activation of Paxillin Am. J. Pathol., June 1, 2010; 176(6): 2997 - 3006. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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C. G. Broustas, J. S. Ross, Q. Yang, C. E. Sheehan, R. Riggins, A.-M. Noone, B. R. Haddad, F. Seillier-Moiseiwitsch, B. V. S. Kallakury, B. G. Haffty, et al. The Proapoptotic Molecule BLID Interacts with Bcl-XL and Its Downregulation in Breast Cancer Correlates with Poor Disease-Free and Overall Survival Clin. Cancer Res., June 1, 2010; 16(11): 2939 - 2948. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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J. J. Tentler, E. L. Bradshaw-Pierce, N. J. Serkova, K. M. Hasebroock, T. M. Pitts, J. R. Diamond, G. C. Fletcher, M. R. Bray, and S. G. Eckhardt Assessment of the In vivo Antitumor Effects of ENMD-2076, a Novel Multitargeted Kinase Inhibitor, against Primary and Cell Line-Derived Human Colorectal Cancer Xenograft Models Clin. Cancer Res., June 1, 2010; 16(11): 2989 - 2998. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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M. Bendandi, S. Marillonnet, R. Kandzia, F. Thieme, A. Nickstadt, S. Herz, R. Frode, S. Inoges, A. Lopez-Diaz de Cerio, E. Soria, et al. Rapid, high-yield production in plants of individualized idiotype vaccines for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma Ann. Onc., May 21, 2010; (2010) mdq256v1. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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W. Y. Cheung, B. A. Neville, and C. C. Earle Associations Among Cancer Survivorship Discussions, Patient and Physician Expectations, and Receipt of Follow-Up Care J. Clin. Oncol., May 20, 2010; 28(15): 2577 - 2583. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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P. C. Fong, T. A. Yap, D. S. Boss, C. P. Carden, M. Mergui-Roelvink, C. Gourley, J. De Greve, J. Lubinski, S. Shanley, C. Messiou, et al. Poly(ADP)-Ribose Polymerase Inhibition: Frequent Durable Responses in BRCA Carrier Ovarian Cancer Correlating With Platinum-Free Interval J. Clin. Oncol., May 20, 2010; 28(15): 2512 - 2519. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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D. G. Pfister, B. R. Cassileth, G. E. Deng, K. S. Yeung, J. S. Lee, D. Garrity, A. Cronin, N. Lee, D. Kraus, A. R. Shaha, et al. Acupuncture for Pain and Dysfunction After Neck Dissection: Results of a Randomized Controlled Trial J. Clin. Oncol., May 20, 2010; 28(15): 2565 - 2570. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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L. Hernandez, S. C. Hsu, B. Davidson, M. J. Birrer, E. C. Kohn, and C. M. Annunziata Activation of NF-{kappa}B Signaling by Inhibitor of NF-{kappa}B Kinase {beta} Increases Aggressiveness of Ovarian Cancer Cancer Res., May 15, 2010; 70(10): 4005 - 4014. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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E. Blanco, E. A. Bey, C. Khemtong, S. G. Yang, J. Setti-Guthi, H. Chen, C. W. Kessinger, K. A. Carnevale, W. G. Bornmann, D. A. Boothman, et al. {beta}-Lapachone Micellar Nanotherapeutics for Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Therapy Cancer Res., May 15, 2010; 70(10): 3896 - 3904. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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C. C. Chu, R. Catera, L. Zhang, S. Didier, B. M. Agagnina, R. N. Damle, M. S. Kaufman, J. E. Kolitz, S. L. Allen, K. R. Rai, et al. Many chronic lymphocytic leukemia antibodies recognize apoptotic cells with exposed nonmuscle myosin heavy chain IIA: implications for patient outcome and cell of origin Blood, May 13, 2010; 115(19): 3907 - 3915. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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M. A. Liss, M. Schlicht, A. Degueme, M. Hessner, and M. W. Datta Use of Cross Species Genomic Profiling Identifies Pathways and Genes Differentially Regulated in Prostate Cancer Cells Treated with Soy Protein Isolates or Purified Genistein Cancer Genomics Proteomics, May 1, 2010; 7(3): 111 - 128. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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R. M. Tuttle, D. W. Ball, D. Byrd, G. H. Daniels, R. A. Dilawari, G. M. Doherty, Q. Y. Duh, H. Ehya, W. B. Farrar, R. I. Haddad, et al. Medullary Carcinoma J Natl Compr Canc Netw, May 1, 2010; 8(5): 512 - 530. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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M. P. Rethman, W. Carpenter, E. E. W. Cohen, J. Epstein, C. A. Evans, C. M. Flaitz, F. J. Graham, P. P. Hujoel, J. R. Kalmar, W. M. Koch, et al. Evidence-Based Clinical Recommendations Regarding Screening for Oral Squamous Cell Carcinomas J Am Dent Assoc, May 1, 2010; 141(5): 509 - 520. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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E. Hawk and S. Patterson Modelling a dream: the molecular prevention of pancreatic cancer Gut, May 1, 2010; 59(5): 566 - 568. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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