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1Assistant Professor, Division of Hematology/Oncology, Northwestern University, Feinberg School of Medicine, Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chicago, IL
2Professor, Division of Hematology/Oncology, Northwestern University, Feinberg School of Medicine, Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chicago, IL
Corresponding author: Mary Cianfrocca, DO, Division of Hematology/Oncology, Northwestern University, Feinberg School of Medicine, Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, 676 N. St. Clair, Suite 850, Chicago, IL 60611; m-cianfrocca{at}northwestern.edu
To earn free CME credit or nursing contact hours for successfully completing the online quiz based on this article, go to http://CME.AmCancerSoc.org.
DISCLOSURES: Dr. Cianfrocca has received honoraria from Genomic Health and Genentech. No other conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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| Breast Cancer Molecular Subtypes |
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Recently, a risk model incorporating the gene expression-based luminal A and B, HER2-positive, and basal-like subtypes was developed by Parker et al.7 Using microarray and quantitative reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT–PCR) data from 189 samples, a 50-gene subtype predictor was developed and evaluated in 2 cohorts of patients: a cohort of patients receiving no adjuvant systemic therapy and a cohort of patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy with paclitaxel, fluorouracil, doxorubicin, and cyclophosphamide. Test sets from 761 patients who did not receive systemic therapy were evaluated for prognosis and 133 samples from patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy were evaluated for prediction of a pathologic complete response (pCR) after neodjuvant chemotherapy.
Among the 626 ER-positive tumors studied, 73% were luminal A or B, 11% were HER2-enriched, 5% were basal-like, and 12% were normal breast. In contrast, among the ER-negative tumors, 11% were luminal A or B, 32% were HER2-enriched, 50% were basal-like, and 7% were normal breast. The intrinsic subtypes as distinct entities were found to have a significant impact on RFS in the untreated patients and remained significant in multivariate analysis incorporating standard prognostic factors such as ER status, histologic grade, tumor size, and lymph node status. Furthermore, the intrinsic subtype model predicted the likelihood of a pCR after neoadjuvant chemotherapy, with a sensitivity and specificity of 94% and 57%, respectively. The positive and negative predictive values were 43.2% and 96.6%, respectively. However, there were significant discrepancies between the clinical classification of the tumors and the classification based on intrinsic subtypes. For example, of the 626 ER-positive tumors analyzed in the microarray test set, 5% were found to be basal-like. Of the 33 HER2-positive tumors, only 64% were classified as HER2-enriched by gene expression and 6% were classified as basal-like. Furthermore, 9% of the HER2-negative tumors were classified as HER2-enriched by gene expression. The authors' conclusions were that ER and HER2 status are not accurate surrogates for the true intrinsic subtype status.7 However, this raises important questions with regard to the optimal classification system to guide therapeutic decision making.
| Gene Expression Profiling Assays |
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The assay was further validated by the Translational Breast International Group (TRANSBIG) research consortium in a retrospective study of frozen, archival tumor material collected from 302 patients with lymph node-negative disease from 5 non-Dutch cancer centers.10 All the patients were aged 60 years or younger and had lymph node-negative, T1 or T2 tumors, and the majority of patients had not received systemic adjuvant therapy. The median follow-up was 13.6 years. The 70-gene prognosis profile was found to be a significant prognostic indicator of both distant disease-free survival (DDFS) and OS in this group of patients.
There are emerging data addressing the ability of the 70-gene assay to predict chemotherapy benefit. Recently, a pooled analysis of 1,637 patients collected from 7 large data sets at multiple institutions across Europe was reported.11 In this meta-analysis, the 70-gene assay assigned 772 patients (47%) to the "low-risk" category and 865 patients (53%) to the "high-risk" category. Among these patients, 349 were treated with endocrine therapy alone, whereas 226 were treated with both chemotherapy and endocrine therapy. Patients with a poor-prognosis 70-gene profile appeared to derive a significant benefit from the addition of chemotherapy. DDFS was improved from 69% to 88% (HR, 0.28; 95% CI, 0.14–0.56; [P < .001]). Conversely, patients with a good-prognosis 70-gene profile did not appear to derive a significant benefit from chemotherapy (P = .962). However, a limitation of this analysis was the relatively small number of events in the "low-risk" group of patients.
The 70-gene assay requires fresh mRNA for analysis (fresh-frozen tumor samples or tissues collected in an RNA preservative solution).
76-Gene Assay
Investigators from Rotterdam, the Netherlands, identified a 76-gene signature (60 genes for patients with ER-positive disease and 16 genes for patients with ER-negative disease) in a training set of 115 tumors.12 In an independent testing set of 171 patients with lymph node-negative disease, this signature demonstrated 93% sensitivity and 48% specificity in identifying patients who developed distant metastatic disease within 5 years (HR, 5.67; 95% CI, 2.59–12.4). At 80 months, the absolute difference between the patients with a good and those with a poor prognosis was 39% (88% vs 49%) for DDFS and 27% (97% vs 70%) for OS. Subgroup analysis demonstrated the profile to be a strong prognostic factor for both premenopausal and postmenopausal women, as well as women with small tumors (those measuring 1–2 cm).
This signature was subsequently validated in an independent, multi-institutional set of tumor samples from 180 patients with lymph node-negative disease who did not receive adjuvant systemic therapy.13 In this group, the 5-year and 10-year DDFS rates were 96% and 94%, respectively, for the good-profile group and 74% and 65%, respectively, for the poor-profile group. The sensitivity and specificity for 5-year DDFS were 90% and 50%, respectively. This analysis confirmed the signature to be a strong prognostic factor in the subgroups of ER-positive patients and both premenopausal and postmenopausal patients, as well as those with a tumor size
20 mm. However, the subgroup of patients with ER-negative tumors was too small for analysis.
The 76-gene assay also requires fresh or frozen extracted mRNA, similar to the 70-gene assay.
The HOXB13:IL17BR Assay
Ma et al performed microarray gene expression analysis of 60 tumors identified from a total of 103 patients with ER-positive, early stage breast cancer who presented to Massachusetts General Hospital between 1987 and 1997.14 All the women were treated with adjuvant tamoxifen alone. A 2-gene expression ratio comprised of the homeobox gene HOXB13 and the interleukin–17B receptor IL17BR (HOXB13:IL17BR) was generated and found to be predictive of disease-free survival (DFS). HOX genes control morphogenesis and also play a role in maintaining tissue specificity.15 HOXB13 may interact with the ER receptor and therefore overexpression may contribute to tamoxifen resistance. The role of IL17BR in breast cancer is less clear. The IL17BR gene, located at 3p21, is frequently lost in breast cancer. It has been hypothesized that one explanation for the correlation between IL17BR and prognosis is that low expression of the gene correlates with loss of tumor suppressor genes at 3p21.
The HOXB13:IL17BR ratio was validated in several population data sets (Table 1).16–18 It was initially validated using the North Central Cancer Treatment Group (NCCTG) 89–30–52 trial, an adjuvant tamoxifen trial.16 The NCCTG 89–30–52 trial randomized 541 postmenopausal women with ER-positive, early stage breast cancer to receive tamoxifen for 5 years or tamoxifen for 5 years plus fluoxymesterone for 1 year. Tumor blocks were obtained from 211 of the 256 patients treated with tamoxifen alone and RT–PCR profiles for HOXB13 and IL17BR were obtained from 206 patients. The HOXB13:IL17BR expression ratio was not found to be associated with relapse or survival in the lymph node-positive (n = 86) group of patients. However, in the lymph node-negative group (n = 130), a high ratio was associated with a significantly worse RFS (HR, 1.98; P = .031), DFS (HR, 2.03; P = .015), and OS (HR, 2.4; P = .014) compared with a low HOXB13:IL17BR expression ratio.
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Jansen et al evaluated the HOXB13:IL17BR expression ratio in 1,252 patients with operable breast cancer and demonstrated that the ratio was associated with both tumor aggressiveness as well as the likelihood of tamoxifen failure.18 A total of 468 patients with ER-positive, primary breast cancer were analyzed, 217 (46%) of whom relapsed during the follow-up period. The HOXB13:IL17BR expression ratio was found to be significantly associated with a poor DFS and OS. Expression levels were also evaluated in 193 patients with ER-positive, primary breast cancer who relapsed and were treated with first-line tamoxifen therapy. The HOXB13:IL17BR expression ratio was found to be significantly associated with a poor response to tamoxifen (P = .027) and a short progression-free-survival (P < .001).
The HOXB13:IL17BR (H/I) index uses formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissue and is commercially available in the United States.
The 21-Gene RT–PCR Assay (Oncotype DX)
Prognostic Data
Table 2 shows prognostic data.
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31) group. The percentage of patients assigned to the low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk RS groups were 51%, 22%, and 27%, respectively. The Kaplan–Meier estimates of the distant recurrence rate at 10 years were 6.8% (95% CI, 4.0–9.6%) in the low-risk group, 14.3% (95% CI, 8.3–20.3%) in the intermediate-risk group, and 30.5% (95% CI, 23.6–37.4%) in the high-risk group. The difference in the distant recurrence rate between the low-risk and high-risk groups was statistically significant (P < .001). The RS was also found to be predictive of OS (P < .001). In a multivariate Cox model, the RS was found to be a significant predictor of distant recurrence independent of age and tumor size (P < .001). The results from the NSABP B–14 trial were independently confirmed in a community hospital setting.25 A case-control study was performed among 4,964 patients from Kaiser Permanente who were diagnosed between 1985 and 1994 and not treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. The 220 cases were patients who died from breast cancer and the 570 controls were patients with breast cancer who were individually matched to cases with regard to age, race, adjuvant tamoxifen use, medical facility, and year of diagnosis and who were alive at the date of death of their matched case. After adjustment for grade and tumor size, the RS was found to be associated with the risk of breast cancer death in patients with ER-positive disease who were treated and those not treated with tamoxifen. The risks of death from breast cancer at 10 years in the patients treated with tamoxifen for the low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk groups were 2.8% (95% CI, 1.7–3.9%), 10.7% (95% CI, 6.3–14.9%), and 15.5% (95% CI, 7.6–22.8%), respectively. In the patients not treated with tamoxifen, these risks were 6.2% (95% CI, 4.5–7.9%), 17.8% (95% CI, 11.8–23.3%), and 19.9% (95% CI, 14.2–25.2%), respectively. As was observed in the NSABP B–14 trial, approximately half of the patients had a low-risk RS.
We believe that the data presented above validate the use of the 21-gene assay in patients with ER-positive, lymph node-negative disease. Esteva et al evaluated the assay in a population of patients with lymph node-negative breast cancer who were treated at The University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center and who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy and had been followed for a minimum of 5 years.26 Of the 149 eligible patients, 69% had tumors that were ER positive. In this mixed group of patients, in terms of hormonal status, the RS was not found to be predictive of distant disease recurrence.
Predictive Data
The ability of gene expression profiling assays to predict benefit from chemotherapy in the neoadjuvant as well as adjuvant setting also has been evaluated (Table 4). Gianni et al evaluated the assay in 89 patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy with three 3-week cycles of doxorubicin (60 mg/m2) and paclitaxel (200 mg/m2) followed by 12 weeks of weekly paclitaxel (80 mg/m2) (Table 4).27 Adjuvant cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and fluorouracil (CMF) were administered after surgery.27 RNA was extracted from pretreatment, formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded core needle biopsies. Using RT–PCR, the expression of 384 genes was quantified and correlated with pCR. Eighty-six genes were found to correlate with a pCR and a pCR was more likely to occur with a higher expression of proliferation-related and immune-related genes and with a lower expression of ER-related genes. The RS, calculated from the 21-gene assay, was found to be positively associated with the likelihood of achieving a pCR (P = .005).27
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| Lymph Node-Positive Patients and Patients Treated with an Aromatase Inhibitor |
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Similar to data previously reported in patients with lymph node-negative disease, 46% of the patients had a low-risk RS, 30% had an intermediate-risk RS, and 24% had a high-risk RS. The RS was found to be a highly significant predictor of local as well as distant recurrence in both the patients with lymph node-negative (P = .0007) and lymph node-positive (P = .0004) disease. Furthermore, a low RS predicted a low risk of recurrence (
5%), irrespective of lymph node status. The RS provided additional prognostic information to Adjuvant! Online, particularly with regard to those patients projected to have better outcomes.
All the patients in the ECOG study E2197 received chemotherapy. However, Albain et al evaluated the 21-gene assay in patients with lymph node-positive, ER-positive disease who were treated with adjuvant tamoxifen alone.31 The Southwest Oncology Group Intergroup Trial S8814 was a phase 3 trial of postmenopausal women with lymph node-positive, ER-positive breast cancer that demonstrated that the addition of 6 cycles of cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, and fluorouracil (CAF) added a significant benefit with regard to DFS and OS compared with tamoxifen alone, particularly if CAF and tamoxifen were administered sequentially (CAF–T). Of the 927 patients randomized to receive either tamoxifen alone or CAF–T, 45% provided specimens, with 367 patients (148 treated with tamoxifen alone and 219 treated with CAF–T) found to have sufficient RNA for RT–PCR analysis. The RS risk distribution was somewhat different from that noted in patients with lymph node-negative disease: 40% in the low-risk group, 28% in the intermediate-risk group, and 32% in the high-risk group. The RS was found to be prognostic for DFS and OS in the patients treated with tamoxifen alone (P = .006). There was a large benefit noted for CAF–T compared with tamoxifen alone in the high-risk RS subset but no apparent benefit was observed in the low-risk RS group. The 10-year DFS estimates (95% CI) were 60% for tamoxifen alone versus 64% for CAF–T in the low-risk group, 49% for tamoxifen alone versus 63% for CAF–T in the intermediate-risk group, and 43% for tamoxifen alone versus 55% for CAF–T in the high-risk group.
The majority of the data regarding the 21-gene assay in patients with ER-positive disease have been derived from patients treated with tamoxifen. However, currently, tamoxifen is not the only drug available for the adjuvant treatment of postmenopausal women with early stage breast cancer and many patients are in fact receiving an AI instead. The ability of the 21-gene assay to predict the risk of distant recurrence in postmenopausal women receiving an adjuvant AI has been evaluated in the TransATAC analysis of the Arimidex, Tamoxifen, Alone or in Combination (ATAC) trial.32 The ATAC trial randomized 9,366 patients with early stage breast cancer to 5 years of treatment with tamoxifen, 5 years of treatment with anastrazole, or 5 years of treatment with both tamoxifen and anastrazole. Of the 9,366 women, 3,486 were either negative for ER or were randomized to the combination arm and therefore were not included in the TransATAC analysis. Of the remaining 5,880 patients who were eligible for the TransATAC analysis, blocks were available with sufficient tumor in 1,856 patients and a reportable RS was obtained in 1,308 patients, of whom 1,231 were evaluable. In the prospectively defined, primary, multivariate analysis, tumor size, tumor grade, and RS were each found to be separately statistically significant in predicting time to distant recurrence in patients with lymph node-negative disease (P < .001, P = .003, and P < .001, respectively) with similar results observed in patients with lymph node-positive disease. For the patients with lymph node-negative disease, the 9-year distant recurrence rates for the low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk RS groups were 4%, 12%, and 25%, respectively; and those for the patients with lymph node-positive disease were 17%, 28%, and 49%, respectively. The RS demonstrated statistically significant prognostic value beyond that provided by Adjuvant! Online with regard to both lymph node-negative (P < .001) and lymph node-positive patients (P = .003). The data were not predictive of a differential benefit between tamoxifen and anastrazole.
| Comparison of Gene Expression Assays |
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Cost-Effectiveness of the Assays
The emergence of commercially available gene profiling assays has raised the question of the cost-effectiveness of these techniques. Cost-effectiveness analyses comparing 2 of the commercially available assays in the United States, the 21-gene RS assay and the 70-gene assay, with other methods of assessment have been performed recently.
A cost-utility analysis was conducted using the 21-gene RS assay in patients previously classified as having a low or high risk of distant recurrence based on clinical guidelines published by the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN).36 The cost of the assay was estimated at $3,460. The analysis demonstrated that using the assay to guide chemotherapy decisions provided a net savings of $2,256 compared with chemotherapy and tamoxifen, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $1,944 per life saved with treatment with tamoxifen alone. Furthermore, using the assay to guide therapy was associated with a gain in individual life expectancy of 2.2 years compared with tamoxifen alone and a similar life expectancy compared with the use of tamoxifen and chemotherapy.
A similar analysis estimating the costs and cost-effectiveness of the 70-gene assay versus Adjuvant! Online in deciding whether to use adjuvant chemotherapy for women aged 61 years and younger with lymph node-negative, HER2-negative, early stage breast cancer with ER-positive or negative status was recently reported.37 Compared with Adjuvant! Online, using the 70-gene assay resulted in 35% of patients being reassigned to a different risk classification and chemotherapy was avoided in 9% of the patients. In the base case, the 70-gene signature strategy was found to be cost-neutral. Lifetime costs per patient were $178,811 and $178,893, respectively, for the 70-gene assay and Adjuvant! Online strategies. Use of the 70-gene assay was associated with an increase of 0.13 life-years and 0.16 quality-adjusted life-years.
Current Use of the Assays
Currently, the 70-gene assay and the 21-gene RS assay are the most commonly used genomic profiling assays in Europe and the United States. MammaPrint was the first assay in the United States to receive US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval under the FDA's new, in vitro, diagnostic, multivariate index assay classification as a prognostic test for women aged younger than 61 years with ER-positive or ER-negative, lymph node-negative breast cancer. Oncotype DX has been exempt from this approval process.
In the United States, Oncotype DX is currently the most commonly used assay in clinical practice for a variety of reasons, including the finding that it can be performed on formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissue. It is unclear at the present time how the need for fresh tissue will affect the adoption of MammaPrint in the United States. In addition, the use of the Oncotype DX assay to predict the risk of recurrence and the benefits of tamoxifen and CMF chemotherapy in newly diagnosed patients with lymph node-negative, ER-positive breast cancer are included in the 2007 American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) tumor marker guidelines.38 The ASCO panel believed that the precise clinical utility and appropriate application of other assays (eg, the 70-gene or 76-gene assays) were "under investigation."
However, there are limitations to the use of the Oncotype DX assay, including the lack of a data-driven answer regarding the optimal treatment of patients with an intermediate-risk RS. In addition, use of the Oncotype DX assay is limited to patients with ER-positive disease, unlike other assays (including the MammaPrint assay), which have been validated in patients with both ER-positive and ER-negative disease. Currently, both assays cost approximately $3,000 to $4,000 in the United States.
| Future Directions |
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We await further data to clarify the optimal use of these assays, particularly prospective, randomized data. In Europe, the 70-gene assay is currently being evaluated in a prospective clinical fashion in the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) Microarray In Node-negative and 1 to 3 positive lymph node Disease may Avoid ChemoTherapy (MINDACT) trial.39 This trial aims to enroll 6,000 patients with lymph node-negative breast cancer who will have their risk assessed both by Adjuvant! Online and the 70-gene profile. If both methodologies assess the patient as having a low relapse risk, no chemotherapy will be administered. If both methods classify the relapse risk as high, chemotherapy will be administered. If the methods are discordant, the patient will be randomly assigned to follow the results of Adjuvant! Online or the 70-gene assay.39 In North America, the 21-gene assay is currently being evaluated in a prospective clinical fashion in the Trial Assigning IndividuaLized Options for Treatment (Rx) (TAILORx) trial. Patients with lymph node-negative, ER-positive breast cancer will be divided into 3 treatment arms depending on their RS. However, the RS categories are different from those previously validated. A low-risk RS on the TAILORx trial is <11, an intermediate-risk RS is between 11 and 25, and a high-risk RS is >25. The purpose of these adjustments was to minimize the potential for undertreatment in the intermediate-risk and high-risk groups.40 Patients with a low-risk RS will receive endocrine therapy without chemotherapy, patients with a high-risk RS will receive chemotherapy followed by endocrine therapy, and patients in the intermediate-risk RS category will be randomized to receive either endocrine therapy without chemotherapy or chemotherapy followed by endocrine therapy. The choice of chemotherapy regimen and endocrine therapy (tamoxifen or an AI) will be at the discretion of the treating physician. Exclusion criteria include HER2-positive tumors. These trials, along with the incorporation of tissue collection and genomic profiling into general clinical trial design, will improve our ability to optimally tailor therapy for individual patients.
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| References |
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